Live prediction market odds for Tomas Machac vs. Rafael Jodar. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-02
Tomas Machac vs. Rafael Jodar — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tomas Machac leads the “Tomas Machac vs. Rafael Jodar” event at 54.8% implied probability, followed by Rafael Jodar at 45.8%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tomas Machac vs. Rafael Jodar is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tomas Machac leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Rafael Jodar at 46%.
Tomas Machac currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Tomas Machac, Rafael Jodar at 46% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tomas Machac: 56¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Rafael Jodar: 45¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Tomas Machac will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Tomas Machac
54.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tomas Machac wins the Jodar vs Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Jodar vs Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Tomas Machac in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for April 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
