Live prediction market odds for Tommy Paul vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-31
Tommy Paul vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-31. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tommy Paul leads the “Tommy Paul vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo” event at 69.0% implied probability, followed by Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 31.5%. A 10.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tommy Paul vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tommy Paul leads at 69% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 32%.
Tommy Paul currently leads at 69% implied probability. Behind Tommy Paul, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 32% are the next closest contenders. The 10.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tommy Paul: 74¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo: 27¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 10.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 69¢ means the market estimates a 69% probability that Tommy Paul will be the outcome. Buying one share at 69¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 45% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Tommy Paul
69.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Adolfo Daniel Vallejo wins the Vallejo vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vallejo vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Adolfo Vallejo in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 1 2026. This market will resolve to "Paul" if Tommy Paul wins by 2 or more sets than Adolfo Vallejo, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Vallejo." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
