Live prediction market odds for Tommy Paul vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-01
Tommy Paul vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tommy Paul leads the “Tommy Paul vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo” event at 73.8% implied probability, followed by Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 26.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Tommy Paul vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tommy Paul leads at 74% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 27%.
Tommy Paul currently leads at 74% implied probability. Behind Tommy Paul, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 27% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tommy Paul: 74¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo: 27¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 74¢ means the market estimates a 74% probability that Tommy Paul will be the outcome. Buying one share at 74¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 35% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Tommy Paul
73.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tommy Paul wins the Vallejo vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vallejo vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Tommy Paul in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
