Live prediction market odds for Tommy Paul vs. Alexandre Muller. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-29
Tommy Paul vs. Alexandre Muller — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tommy Paul leads the “Tommy Paul vs. Alexandre Muller” event at 93.0% implied probability, followed by Alexandre Muller at 7.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tommy Paul vs. Alexandre Muller is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tommy Paul leads at 93% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alexandre Muller at 7%.
Tommy Paul currently leads at 93% implied probability. Behind Tommy Paul, Alexandre Muller at 7% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tommy Paul: 94¢ on Kalshi, 92¢ on Polymarket. Alexandre Muller: 6¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 93¢ means the market estimates a 93% probability that Tommy Paul will be the outcome. Buying one share at 93¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 8% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Tommy Paul vs. Alexandre Muller” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Tommy Paul
93.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alexandre Muller wins the Muller vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Muller vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Muller and Tommy Paul in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Alexandre Muller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
