Live prediction market odds for Tommy Paul vs. Lorenzo Sonego. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-27
Tommy Paul vs. Lorenzo Sonego — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-27. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tommy Paul leads the “Tommy Paul vs. Lorenzo Sonego” event at 84.5% implied probability, followed by Lorenzo Sonego at 16.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Tommy Paul vs. Lorenzo Sonego is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tommy Paul leads at 85% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lorenzo Sonego at 16%.
Tommy Paul currently leads at 85% implied probability. Behind Tommy Paul, Lorenzo Sonego at 16% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tommy Paul: 85¢ on Kalshi, 84¢ on Polymarket. Lorenzo Sonego: 16¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 85¢ means the market estimates a 85% probability that Tommy Paul will be the outcome. Buying one share at 85¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 18% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tommy Paul wins the Sonego vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Sonego vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Tommy Paul in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Tommy Paul
84.5% avg
