Live prediction market odds for Tommy Paul vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-05
This market resolved on 2026-04-05. Tommy Paul was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
Tommy Paul vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Tommy PaulWINNER | 99% | 63% |
Roman Andres Burruchaga | 1% | 38% |
Tommy Paul vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tommy Paul led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Roman Andres Burruchaga at 19%.
Tommy Paul held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tommy Paul, Roman Andres Burruchaga at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 36.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tommy Paul: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Roman Andres Burruchaga: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 36.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Tommy Paul would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Tommy Paul
80.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tommy Paul wins the Burruchaga vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Burruchaga vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Roman Andres Burruchaga and Tommy Paul in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 5 2026. This market will resolve to “Burruchaga” if Roman Andres Burruchaga wins the first set. It will resolve to “Paul” if Tommy Paul wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
