Live prediction market odds for Tristan Boyer vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-25
Tristan Boyer vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz leads the “Tristan Boyer vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz” event at 58.5% implied probability, followed by Tristan Boyer at 42.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Tristan Boyer vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pablo Llamas Ruiz leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tristan Boyer at 43%.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Pablo Llamas Ruiz, Tristan Boyer at 43% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pablo Llamas Ruiz: 59¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Tristan Boyer: 43¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Pablo Llamas Ruiz will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Pablo Llamas Ruiz
58.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tristan Boyer wins the Llamas Ruiz vs Boyer professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Llamas Ruiz vs Boyer professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Tristan Boyer in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Tristan Boyer. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Boyer' if Tristan Boyer advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
