Live prediction market odds for Tristan Schoolkate vs. Nicolas Mejia. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-25
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Nicolas Mejia — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tristan Schoolkate leads the “Tristan Schoolkate vs. Nicolas Mejia” event at 74.5% implied probability, followed by Nicolas Mejia at 26.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Nicolas Mejia is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tristan Schoolkate leads at 75% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Nicolas Mejia at 27%.
Tristan Schoolkate currently leads at 75% implied probability. Behind Tristan Schoolkate, Nicolas Mejia at 27% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tristan Schoolkate: 75¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Nicolas Mejia: 27¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 75¢ means the market estimates a 75% probability that Tristan Schoolkate will be the outcome. Buying one share at 75¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 33% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Tristan Schoolkate
74.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nicolas Mejia wins the Mejia vs Schoolkate professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mejia vs Schoolkate professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Tristan Schoolkate in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Tristan Schoolkate. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Nicolas Mejia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
