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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 3.0% // +$300.00

Live prediction market odds for Ugo Humbert vs. Hamad Medjedovic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Ugo Humbert vs. Hamad Medjedovic

2026-06-18

About This Market

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Ugo Humbert vs. Hamad Medjedovic — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Ugo Humbert leads the “Ugo Humbert vs. Hamad Medjedovic” event at 61.5% implied probability, followed by Hamad Medjedovic at 39.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
UH
Ugo Humbert
62% Avg
Kalshi63¢
Polymarket62¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
62.5%62¢63¢37¢38¢
PolymarketPolymarket
61.0%60¢62¢38¢40¢
HM
Hamad Medjedovic
39% Avg
Kalshi39¢
Polymarket40¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
38.5%38¢39¢61¢62¢
PolymarketPolymarket
39.0%38¢40¢60¢62¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Ugo Humbert vs. Hamad Medjedovic" and why does it matter?

Ugo Humbert vs. Hamad Medjedovic is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ugo Humbert leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Hamad Medjedovic at 40%.

What is moving the odds on "Ugo Humbert vs. Hamad Medjedovic"?

Ugo Humbert currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Ugo Humbert, Hamad Medjedovic at 40% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Ugo Humbert vs. Hamad Medjedovic" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ugo Humbert: 63¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Hamad Medjedovic: 39¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Ugo Humbert is at 62%?

A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that Ugo Humbert will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Ugo Humbert vs. Hamad Medjedovic

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Ugo Humbert wins the Medjedovic vs Humbert professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP London Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Medjedovic vs Humbert professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP London Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Hamad Medjedovic and Ugo Humbert in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Ugo Humbert. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Hamad Medjedovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread3.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Ugo Humbert

61.5% avg