Live prediction market odds for Ugo Humbert vs. Ignacio Buse. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-21
Ugo Humbert vs. Ignacio Buse — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Ignacio Buse leads the “Ugo Humbert vs. Ignacio Buse” event at 70.5% implied probability, followed by Ugo Humbert at 29.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Ugo Humbert vs. Ignacio Buse is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ignacio Buse leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ugo Humbert at 30%.
Ignacio Buse currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Ignacio Buse, Ugo Humbert at 30% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ignacio Buse: 71¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. Ugo Humbert: 30¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 71¢ means the market estimates a 71% probability that Ignacio Buse will be the outcome. Buying one share at 71¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 41% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ugo Humbert wins the Buse vs Humbert professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hamburg Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Buse vs Humbert professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hamburg Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Ugo Humbert in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Ugo Humbert. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Ignacio Buse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ignacio Buse
70.5% avg
