Live prediction market odds for Ugo Humbert vs. Justin Engel. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-18
Ugo Humbert vs. Justin Engel — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Ugo Humbert leads the “Ugo Humbert vs. Justin Engel” event at 76.5% implied probability, followed by Justin Engel at 24.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Ugo Humbert vs. Justin Engel is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ugo Humbert leads at 77% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Justin Engel at 25%.
Ugo Humbert currently leads at 77% implied probability. Behind Ugo Humbert, Justin Engel at 25% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ugo Humbert: 77¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket. Justin Engel: 25¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 77¢ means the market estimates a 77% probability that Ugo Humbert will be the outcome. Buying one share at 77¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 30% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Justin Engel wins the Engel vs Humbert professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hamburg Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Engel vs Humbert professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hamburg Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Justin Engel and Ugo Humbert in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justin Engel' if Justin Engel advances against Ugo Humbert. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Justin Engel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ugo Humbert
76.5% avg
