Live prediction market odds for Valentin Royer vs. Alejandro Tabilo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Valentin Royer vs. Alejandro Tabilo — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alejandro Tabilo leads the “Valentin Royer vs. Alejandro Tabilo” event at 70.0% implied probability, followed by Valentin Royer at 30.8%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Valentin Royer vs. Alejandro Tabilo is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alejandro Tabilo leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Valentin Royer at 31%.
Alejandro Tabilo currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind Alejandro Tabilo, Valentin Royer at 31% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alejandro Tabilo: 71¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Valentin Royer: 31¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 70¢ means the market estimates a 70% probability that Alejandro Tabilo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 70¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 43% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Valentin Royer wins the Tabilo vs Royer professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tabilo vs Royer professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Valentin Royer in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Valentin Royer. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Alejandro Tabilo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alejandro Tabilo
70.0% avg
