Live prediction market odds for Vilius Gaubas vs. Leandro Riedi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-04
Vilius Gaubas vs. Leandro Riedi — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Vilius Gaubas leads the “Vilius Gaubas vs. Leandro Riedi” event at 71.5% implied probability, followed by Leandro Riedi at 28.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Vilius Gaubas vs. Leandro Riedi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Vilius Gaubas leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Leandro Riedi at 29%.
Vilius Gaubas currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Vilius Gaubas, Leandro Riedi at 29% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Vilius Gaubas: 72¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. Leandro Riedi: 29¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 72¢ means the market estimates a 72% probability that Vilius Gaubas will be the outcome. Buying one share at 72¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 39% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Vilius Gaubas
71.5% avg
