Live prediction market odds for Vilius Gaubas vs. Sebastian Baez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
Vilius Gaubas vs. Sebastian Baez — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Sebastian Baez leads the “Vilius Gaubas vs. Sebastian Baez” event at 70.0% implied probability, followed by Vilius Gaubas at 30.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Vilius Gaubas vs. Sebastian Baez is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sebastian Baez leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Vilius Gaubas at 30%.
Sebastian Baez currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind Sebastian Baez, Vilius Gaubas at 30% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sebastian Baez: 70¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. Vilius Gaubas: 31¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 70¢ means the market estimates a 70% probability that Sebastian Baez will be the outcome. Buying one share at 70¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 43% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Sebastian Baez
70.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Vilius Gaubas wins the Baez vs Gaubas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baez vs Gaubas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Vilius Gaubas in the Bucharest Open, scheduled for March 30 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Vilius Gaubas. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
