Live prediction market odds for Vitaliy Sachko vs. Damir Dzumhur. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-11
This market resolved on 2026-04-11. Vitaliy Sachko was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 70%.
Vitaliy Sachko vs. Damir Dzumhur — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Vitaliy SachkoWINNER | 99% | 40% |
Damir Dzumhur | 1% | 60% |
Vitaliy Sachko vs. Damir Dzumhur was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Vitaliy Sachko led the market at 70% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Damir Dzumhur at 31%.
Vitaliy Sachko held the lead at 70% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Vitaliy Sachko, Damir Dzumhur at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 59.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Vitaliy Sachko: 99¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. Damir Dzumhur: 1¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. The 59.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ meant the market estimated a 70% chance that Vitaliy Sachko would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 70¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 43% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Damir Dzumhur wins the Dzumhur vs Sachko professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Munich Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Dzumhur vs Sachko professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Munich Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Damir Dzumhur and Vitaliy Sachko in the BMW Open, Qualification, scheduled for April 11 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Damir Dzumhur' if Damir Dzumhur advances against Vitaliy Sachko. This market will resolve to 'Vitaliy Sachko' if Vitaliy Sachko advances against Damir Dzumhur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vitaliy Sachko
69.5% avg
