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Live prediction market odds for Wu Yibing vs. Jan Choinski. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Wu Yibing vs. Jan Choinski

2026-06-20

About This Market

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Wu Yibing vs. Jan Choinski — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Yibing Wu leads the “Wu Yibing vs. Jan Choinski” event at 72.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Wu Yibing (69.5%), and Jan Choinski (29.5%). A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
YW
Yibing Wu
71% Avg
Kalshi72¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
70.5%69¢72¢28¢31¢
WY
Wu Yibing
70% Avg
Polymarket70¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
69.5%69¢70¢30¢31¢
JC
Jan ChoinskiARB
30% Avg
Kalshi29¢
Polymarket31¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
28.5%28¢29¢71¢72¢
PolymarketPolymarket
30.5%30¢31¢69¢70¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Wu Yibing vs. Jan Choinski" and why does it matter?

Wu Yibing vs. Jan Choinski is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Yibing Wu leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Wu Yibing at 70%, Jan Choinski at 30%.

What is moving the odds on "Wu Yibing vs. Jan Choinski"?

Yibing Wu currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Yibing Wu, Wu Yibing at 70% and Jan Choinski at 30% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Wu Yibing vs. Jan Choinski" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Yibing Wu: 72¢ on Kalshi. Wu Yibing: 70¢ on Polymarket. Jan Choinski: 29¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Yibing Wu is at 72%?

A price of 72¢ means the market estimates a 72% probability that Yibing Wu will be the outcome. Buying one share at 72¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 39% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Wu Yibing vs. Jan Choinski

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jan Choinski wins the Choinski vs Wu professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Choinski vs Wu professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Yibing Wu in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if Jan Choinski advances against Yibing Wu. This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yibing Wu advances against Jan Choinski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

Yibing Wu

72.0% avg