Live prediction market odds for Yannick Hanfmann vs. Karim Bennani. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-31
Yannick Hanfmann vs. Karim Bennani — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-31. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Yannick Hanfmann leads the “Yannick Hanfmann vs. Karim Bennani” event at 89.5% implied probability, followed by Karim Bennani at 11.3%. A 9.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Yannick Hanfmann vs. Karim Bennani is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Yannick Hanfmann leads at 90% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Karim Bennani at 11%.
Yannick Hanfmann currently leads at 90% implied probability. Behind Yannick Hanfmann, Karim Bennani at 11% are the next closest contenders. The 9.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Yannick Hanfmann: 94¢ on Kalshi, 85¢ on Polymarket. Karim Bennani: 8¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. The 9.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ means the market estimates a 90% probability that Yannick Hanfmann will be the outcome. Buying one share at 90¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 11% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Yannick Hanfmann
89.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Yannick Hanfmann wins the Bennani vs Hanfmann professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bennani vs Hanfmann professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Karim Bennani and Yannick Hanfmann in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for April 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karim Bennani' if Karim Bennani advances against Yannick Hanfmann. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Karim Bennani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
