Live prediction market odds for Yannick Hanfmann vs. Luciano Darderi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-23
Yannick Hanfmann vs. Luciano Darderi — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Yannick Hanfmann leads the “Yannick Hanfmann vs. Luciano Darderi” event at 51.5% implied probability, followed by Luciano Darderi at 48.3%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Yannick Hanfmann vs. Luciano Darderi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Yannick Hanfmann leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Luciano Darderi at 48%.
Yannick Hanfmann currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Yannick Hanfmann, Luciano Darderi at 48% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Yannick Hanfmann: 51¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Luciano Darderi: 49¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Yannick Hanfmann will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Luciano Darderi wins the Darderi vs Hanfmann professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Darderi vs Hanfmann professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Yannick Hanfmann in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Yannick Hanfmann. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Yannick Hanfmann
51.5% avg
