Live prediction market odds for Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-15
This market resolved on 2026-04-15. FC Bayern München was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid on April 15, 2026. This high-stakes encounter could impact both teams' standings in their respective leagues and influence their paths in European competitions.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
FC Bayern MünchenWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF) | 1% | 50% |
Real Madrid CF | 1% | 50% |
The outcome could significantly affect the teams' standings in their leagues and their chances in European tournaments. Both clubs aim to secure vital points for their season objectives.
Prediction markets adjust odds based on factors like team form, injuries, and historical performance. As these elements evolve, so do the market predictions leading up to the match.
The match is scheduled for April 15, 2026. Fans and analysts alike are closely monitoring this date for its implications in the football season.
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). FC Bayern München led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF) at 26%, Real Madrid CF at 26%.
FC Bayern München held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind FC Bayern München, Draw (FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF) at 26% and Real Madrid CF at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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FC Bayern München
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion.
KalshiIf Bayern Munich wins the Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
OpinionResolves Yes if the match ends in a draw after regular time. Resolves No if either team wins. Does not apply in competitions where draws are not possible.
