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This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 64.0% // +$6400.00

Live prediction market odds for Belgium vs IR Iran. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Kalshi / Polymarket / Predict.fun

Belgium vs IR Iran

2026-06-21

About This Market

Share

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Belgium and IR Iran scheduled for June 21, 2026. The outcome of this game could impact team standings and fan sentiment as both teams aim for success in the tournament.

Belgium leads the “Belgium vs IR Iran” event at 46.5% implied probability, followed by IR Iran at 15.8%. A 64.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
B
Belgium
59% Avg
Kalshi69¢
Polymarket70¢
Predict.fun76¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
68.0%67¢69¢31¢33¢
PolymarketPolymarket
67.5%65¢70¢30¢35¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
40.0%4¢76¢24¢96¢
II
IR IranARB
21% Avg
Kalshi13¢
Polymarket53¢
Predict.fun29¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
11.5%10¢13¢87¢90¢
PolymarketPolymarket
35.0%17¢53¢47¢83¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
15.0%1¢29¢71¢99¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for this match?

Team performance in previous matches, player injuries, and historical head-to-head records can significantly impact the odds. Additionally, betting trends and public sentiment may also play a role.

How do prediction markets work for sports events?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on the expected outcome of an event. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of participants about the likelihood of various outcomes.

What is at stake for both teams in this match?

Both Belgium and IR Iran are looking to secure valuable points in the tournament, which could affect their chances of advancing. A win could boost morale and momentum for future matches.

What is "Belgium vs IR Iran" and why does it matter?

Belgium vs IR Iran is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict.fun). Belgium leads at 47% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include IR Iran at 23%.

What is moving the odds on "Belgium vs IR Iran"?

Belgium currently leads at 47% implied probability. Behind Belgium, IR Iran at 23% are the next closest contenders. The 64.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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$
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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread64.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Belgium

Market Rulebook: Belgium vs IR Iran

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If IR Iran wins the Belgium vs IR Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Belgium vs IR Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

{'description': 'In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 21, 2026\nIf IR Iran wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to "No".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event\'s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.'}

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46.5% avg