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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 85.3% // +$8530.00

Live prediction market odds for Betmoar FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Polymarket / Predict.fun

Betmoar FDV above ___ one day after launch?

2028-01-01

About This Market

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Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)

$20M leads the “Betmoar FDV above ___ one day after launch” event at 65.5% implied probability. Other contenders include $50M (49.6%), $400M (48.9%), $100M (17.6%), and $200M (15.7%). A 85.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
$
$20MARB
66% Avg
Polymarket69¢
Predict.fun63¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
68.5%68¢69¢31¢32¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
63.0%63¢63¢37¢37¢
$
$50MARB
50% Avg
Polymarket80¢
Predict.fun27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
72.5%65¢80¢20¢35¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
27.0%27¢27¢73¢73¢
$
$400MARB
49% Avg
Polymarket97¢
Predict.fun6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
91.5%86¢97¢3¢14¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
6.0%6¢6¢94¢94¢
$
$100M
18% Avg
Polymarket20¢
Predict.fun20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
16.0%12¢20¢80¢88¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
19.5%19¢20¢80¢81¢
$
$200M
16% Avg
Polymarket28¢
Predict.fun14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
17.5%7¢28¢72¢93¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
14.0%14¢14¢86¢86¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Betmoar FDV above ___ one day after launch?" and why does it matter?

Betmoar FDV above ___ one day after launch is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). $20M leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include $50M at 73%, $400M at 92%, $100M at 16%.

What is moving the odds on "Betmoar FDV above ___ one day after launch?"?

$20M currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind $20M, $50M at 73% and $400M at 92% and $100M at 16% are the next closest contenders. The 85.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Betmoar FDV above ___ one day after launch?" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: $20M: 69¢ on Polymarket. $50M: 73¢ on Polymarket. $400M: 92¢ on Polymarket. $100M: 16¢ on Polymarket. The 85.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that $20M is at 66%?

A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that $20M will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Stats
Spread85.3%
Platforms2
Candidates5
Leader

$20M

65.5% avg

Market Rulebook: Betmoar FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

{'description': 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar\'s token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."\n\nOnly an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Betmoar (https://x.com/betmoardotfun) doesn\'t launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".\n\nCreated At: 2026-03-26T01:14:39.339030406Z'}

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