Live prediction market odds for Bitcoin price at the end of 2026. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Opinion.
Kalshi / Polymarket / Opinion
2027-01-01
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Bitcoin price at the end of 2026. Market sentiment is influenced by regulatory developments, technological advancements, and macroeconomic trends affecting cryptocurrency adoption and investment.
↓ 55,000 leads Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 at 70.3% implied probability. Other contenders include ↓ 45,000 (44.7%), ↑ 100,000 (49.0%), ↑ 110,000 (41.1%), and ↓ 35,000 (24.6%). A 36.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include regulatory changes, market demand, technological advancements, and macroeconomic conditions. Investor sentiment and institutional adoption also play crucial roles.
Prediction markets aggregate data from various sources, including trader sentiment and market analysis. Prices fluctuate based on real-time information and trading activity.
This timeframe allows for the assessment of Bitcoin's performance amid evolving market conditions and potential regulatory frameworks. It also coincides with broader economic trends that could impact cryptocurrency investments.
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion). ↓ 55,000 leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include ↓ 45,000 at 47%, ↑ 100,000 at 39%, ↑ 110,000 at 27%.
↓ 55,000 currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind ↓ 55,000, ↓ 45,000 at 47% and ↑ 100,000 at 39% and ↑ 110,000 at 27% are the next closest contenders. The 36.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
↓ 55,000
70.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is above 149999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
PolymarketThis market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
