Live prediction market odds for Bosnia and Herzegovina: Stage of Elimination. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-19
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the stage of elimination for Bosnia and Herzegovina in the upcoming 2026 FIFA World Cup. The performance of the national team in the tournament will influence national pride and future investment in sports development.
Group Stage is priced at 32.3% implied probability for the “Bosnia and Herzegovina: Stage of Elimination” event. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Team performance in qualifying matches, player fitness, and historical performance in international tournaments are critical factors. Additionally, the strength of their group stage opponents will significantly impact their chances.
Advancing further in the tournament can boost national pride and unity. Conversely, an early exit may lead to disappointment and calls for changes in the national football program.
Participation in the World Cup provides a platform for showcasing talent on an international stage. Success can lead to increased support for football and potential investments in sports infrastructure.
Bosnia and Herzegovina: Stage of Elimination is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Group Stage leads at 32% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Group Stage currently leads at 32% implied probability. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Group Stage
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Bosnia and Herzegovina is eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification. For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing. Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
Polymarket32.3% avg
$50K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow
