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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 4.5% // +$450.00

Live prediction market odds for Brazil vs Mexico. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Mexico Wins: Brazil vs Mexico

Resolved 2026-03-11

This market resolved on 2026-03-11. Mexico was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the matchup between Brazil and Mexico on March 11, 2026. This event is crucial as both teams aim to secure a victory in the international sports arena, impacting their standings and fan engagement.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
MexicoWINNER
99%95%
Brazil
1%6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the Brazil vs Mexico match?

The match represents a key opportunity for both teams to showcase their skills on an international stage. Winning could enhance their reputation and ranking in global football.

How do prediction markets reflect the outcome of this match?

Prediction markets aggregate opinions and data to estimate the likelihood of various outcomes. Factors such as team performance, player injuries, and historical matchups influence the odds.

What platforms are providing odds for this match?

Odds for the Brazil vs Mexico match are available on Polymarket and Kalshi. These platforms allow users to speculate on the outcome based on real-time data and market sentiment.

What was "Brazil vs Mexico" and why did it matter?

Brazil vs Mexico was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mexico led the market at 97% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Brazil at 3%.

What moved the odds on "Brazil vs Mexico"?

Mexico held the lead at 97% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Mexico, Brazil at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPNFox Sportsthe Governing League
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Mexico

96.8% avg

Market Rulebook: Brazil vs Mexico

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Mexico wins the Brazil vs Mexico professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 8, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Brazil vs Mexico professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 8, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. In the event of a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50.

Resolution Oracles
ESPNFox Sportsthe Governing League
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