Live prediction market odds for FC Augsburg vs. Hamburg SV. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-04
FC Augsburg vs. Hamburg SV — Bundesliga game scheduled for 2026-04-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
FC Augsburg leads the “FC Augsburg vs. Hamburg SV” event at 29.3% implied probability, followed by Tie at 28.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
FC Augsburg vs. Hamburg SV is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). FC Augsburg leads at 29% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tie at 29%.
FC Augsburg currently leads at 29% implied probability. Behind FC Augsburg, Tie at 29% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: FC Augsburg: 30¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 30¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 29¢ means the market estimates a 29% probability that FC Augsburg will be the outcome. Buying one share at 29¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 245% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
FC Augsburg
29.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Augsburg wins the Hamburg vs Augsburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Hamburg vs Augsburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If FC Augsburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
