Live prediction market odds for Mainz vs. St. Pauli. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-03
Mainz vs. St. Pauli — Bundesliga game scheduled for 2026-05-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Draw leads the “Mainz vs. St. Pauli” event at 39.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Mainz (38.0%), and St. Pauli (37.8%). A 18.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Mainz vs. St. Pauli is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Draw leads at 39% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mainz at 38%, St. Pauli at 38%.
Draw currently leads at 39% implied probability. Behind Draw, Mainz at 38% and St. Pauli at 38% are the next closest contenders. The 18.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Draw: 49¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. Mainz: 39¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. St. Pauli: 40¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 18.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 39¢ means the market estimates a 39% probability that Draw will be the outcome. Buying one share at 39¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 156% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Draw
39.3% avg
