Live prediction market odds for SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-26
SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga game scheduled for 2026-04-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Draw leads the “SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund” event at 19.3% implied probability, followed by SC Freiburg at 12.5%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Draw leads at 19% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include SC Freiburg at 13%.
Draw currently leads at 19% implied probability. Behind Draw, SC Freiburg at 13% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Draw: 20¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket. SC Freiburg: 11¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 19¢ means the market estimates a 19% probability that Draw will be the outcome. Buying one share at 19¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 426% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Freiburg wins the Dortmund vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Dortmund vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
OpinionResolves Yes if the match ends in a draw after regular time. Resolves No if either team wins. Does not apply in competitions where draws are not possible.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 26, 2026 If SC Freiburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Draw
19.3% avg
