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Live prediction market odds for TSG Hoffenheim vs. Hamburg SV. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

TSG Hoffenheim vs. Hamburg SV

2026-04-25

About This Market

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TSG Hoffenheim vs. Hamburg SV — Bundesliga game scheduled for 2026-04-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Draw is priced at 33.0% implied probability for the “TSG Hoffenheim vs. Hamburg SV” event. A 16.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
D
Draw
32% Avg
Kalshi77¢
Polymarket25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
41.0%5¢77¢23¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.5%22¢25¢75¢78¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "TSG Hoffenheim vs. Hamburg SV" and why does it matter?

TSG Hoffenheim vs. Hamburg SV is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Draw leads at 33% implied probability, making it the market favorite.

What is moving the odds on "TSG Hoffenheim vs. Hamburg SV"?

Draw currently leads at 33% implied probability. The 16.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "TSG Hoffenheim vs. Hamburg SV" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Draw: 41¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. The 16.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Draw is at 33%?

A price of 33¢ means the market estimates a 33% probability that Draw will be the outcome. Buying one share at 33¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 203% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread16.0%
Platforms2
Candidates1

Market Rulebook: TSG Hoffenheim vs. Hamburg SV

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tie wins the Hamburg vs Hoffenheim professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Hamburg vs Hoffenheim professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Leader

Draw

33.0% avg