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Live prediction market odds for VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen

2026-04-04

About This Market

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VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen — Bundesliga game scheduled for 2026-04-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Draw leads the “VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen” event at 0.5% implied probability, followed by VfL Wolfsburg at 0.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
D
Draw
0% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢
VW
VfL Wolfsburg
0% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen" and why does it matter?

VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Draw leads at 1% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include VfL Wolfsburg at 1%.

What is moving the odds on "VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen"?

Draw currently leads at 1% implied probability. Behind Draw, VfL Wolfsburg at 1% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Draw: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. VfL Wolfsburg: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Draw is at 1%?

A price of 1¢ means the market estimates a 1% probability that Draw will be the outcome. Buying one share at 1¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 9900% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates2

Market Rulebook: VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Wolfsburg wins the Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If VfL Wolfsburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Leader

Draw

0.5% avg

No price history available