About This Market
SharePrediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the CA-03 primary to determine which candidates will advance. This primary is crucial as it shapes the electoral landscape for the upcoming general election, influencing party dynamics and voter engagement in the region.
Ami Bera leads the “CA-03 primary: Who will advance” event at 74.0% implied probability, followed by Robb Tucker at 61.8%. A 48.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

