About This Market
SharePolymarket and Kalshi are tracking the CA-04 primary advancers ahead of the June 2026 election. As candidates vie for position, shifts in voter sentiment and campaign strategies will influence the odds significantly.
Mike Thompson leads the “CA-04 primary advancers” event at 96.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Eric Jones (91.3%), Heath Fulkerson (7.5%), Mandy Ghusar (6.5%), and Laurie MacKenzie (6.0%). A 8.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
