Live prediction market odds for CA-07 primary: Who will advance?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-06-02
This market resolved on 2026-06-02. Doris Matsui was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the CA-07 primary to determine which candidates will advance. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies leading into the general election, making it a focal point for local and national political interests.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Doris MatsuiWINNER | 99% | 99% | 50% |
Mai Vang | 100% | 81% | 50% |
Zachariah Wooden | 0% |
The CA-07 primary is crucial for determining which candidates will represent their party in the general election. It can shape campaign strategies and voter engagement in the district.
Prediction markets provide real-time insights into public sentiment and candidate viability. Fluctuations in odds can reflect changes in polling data, endorsements, and campaign developments.
Factors such as voter turnout, campaign funding, and candidate debates can significantly impact the primary results. Additionally, local issues and national trends may sway voter preferences.
CA-07 primary: Who will advance was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Doris Matsui led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Mai Vang at 77%, Zachariah Wooden at 6%, Enayat Nazhat at 1%.
Doris Matsui held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Doris Matsui, Mai Vang at 77% and Zachariah Wooden at 6% and Enayat Nazhat at 1% were the next closest contenders. The 50.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Doris Matsui
82.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Doris Matsui advances in the 2026 CA-07 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.
| 12% |
| — |
Enayat Nazhat | 0% | 2% | — |
Ralph Nwobi | 0% | 2% | — |
Robert Morin | 0% | 1% | — |
