Live prediction market odds for CA-09 primary: Who will advance?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-02
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the CA-09 primary, focusing on which candidates will advance to the next stage. This primary is crucial as it could shape the Democratic representation in the upcoming general election, influencing party dynamics and voter turnout.
John McBride is priced at 49.8% implied probability for the “CA-09 primary: Who will advance” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.6% spread.
The CA-09 primary is essential for determining which candidates will represent the Democratic Party in the general election. The outcome can influence party strategies and voter engagement.
Prediction markets aggregate real-time data and sentiment, providing insights into which candidates are favored to advance. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public perception and campaign momentum.
Factors such as candidate debates, endorsements, and voter turnout will play a critical role in shaping the primary's outcome. Additionally, local issues and demographics may impact voter preferences.
CA-09 primary: Who will advance is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). John McBride leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
John McBride currently leads at 50% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.6% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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John McBride
49.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf John McBride advances in the 2026 CA-09 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.
