Live prediction market odds for CA-26 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Kalshi
2026-11-03
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CA-26 House race. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, depending on voter turnout and campaign dynamics leading up to November 2026.
Republican party is priced at 2.4% implied probability for the “CA-26 House winner” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements can also shift market perceptions.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing places it during a midterm election cycle, which often sees varying voter turnout compared to presidential elections.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of traders about which candidates are likely to win.
CA-26 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Republican party leads at 2% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Republican party currently leads at 2% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Republican party
2.4% avg
