Live prediction market odds for CA-32 primary: Who will advance?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.
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Kalshi / PredictIt
2026-06-02
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the CA-32 primary to determine which candidates will advance. As the election date approaches, shifts in voter sentiment and campaign dynamics are crucial factors influencing the odds in this competitive race.
Brad Sherman leads the “CA-32 primary: Who will advance” event at 71.0% implied probability, followed by Jake Levine at 33.5%. A 42.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
The CA-32 primary is a critical step in the electoral process, determining which candidates will compete in the general election. It can influence party dynamics and voter engagement leading up to the election.
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants to forecast outcomes based on real-time data and sentiment. As events unfold, such as debates and endorsements, the odds reflect changing perceptions of candidates' chances.
Factors such as polling results, campaign strategies, and public debates can significantly impact candidate odds. Additionally, external events like economic conditions or national issues may also play a role in shaping voter preferences.
CA-32 primary: Who will advance is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Brad Sherman leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jake Levine at 34%.
Brad Sherman currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Brad Sherman, Jake Levine at 34% are the next closest contenders. The 42.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Brad Sherman
71.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Brad Sherman advances in the 2026 CA-32 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.
