Live prediction market odds for CA-34 primary: Who will advance?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-06-02
This market resolved on 2026-06-02. Jimmy Gomez was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the CA-34 primary to determine which candidates will advance. This primary is crucial as it shapes the Democratic representation in a key district, influencing broader electoral dynamics leading up to the general election.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Jimmy GomezWINNER | 100% | 98% | 99% |
Angela Gonzales-Torres | 99% | 85% | 1% |
Rob Lucero |
The CA-34 primary is significant as it determines which candidates will represent the Democratic Party in a competitive district. The outcome can influence the overall balance of power in Congress.
Prediction markets reflect the CA-34 primary by aggregating bets on which candidates are likely to advance. These odds fluctuate based on polling data, candidate visibility, and campaign developments.
The CA-34 primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. This timing is critical as it occurs just months before the general election, impacting candidate strategies.
CA-34 primary: Who will advance was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Jimmy Gomez led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Angela Gonzales-Torres at 61%, Rob Lucero at 3%, Robert Lucero at 3%.
Jimmy Gomez held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Jimmy Gomez, Angela Gonzales-Torres at 61% and Rob Lucero at 3% and Robert Lucero at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 98.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Jimmy Gomez
98.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Angela Gonzales-Torres advances in the 2026 CA-34 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates. See full rules for details.
| 5% |
| — |
Robert Lucero | 1% | 5% | — |
Calvin Lee | 2% | 6% | — |
Loren Colin | 0% | 2% | — |
Arthur Dixon | 0% | 1% | — |
