About This Market
SharePrediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the CA-38 primary to determine which candidates will advance. This primary is crucial as it will shape the political landscape in California and influence the broader electoral strategies for the upcoming general election.
Pedro Antonio Casas leads the “CA-38 primary: Who will advance” event at 78.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Hilda Solis (71.5%), and Erik Lutz (30.5%). A 43.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
