Live prediction market odds for California governor primary margin of victory?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2027-06-02
Xavier Becerra, 2-4% leads the “California governor primary margin of victory” event at 98.0% implied probability, followed by Xavier Becerra, 4-6% at 2.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
California governor primary margin of victory is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Xavier Becerra, 2-4% leads at 98% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Xavier Becerra, 4-6% at 2%.
Xavier Becerra, 2-4% currently leads at 98% implied probability. Behind Xavier Becerra, 2-4%, Xavier Becerra, 4-6% at 2% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Xavier Becerra, 2-4%: 98¢ on Kalshi. Xavier Becerra, 4-6%: 2¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 98¢ means the market estimates a 98% probability that Xavier Becerra, 2-4% will be the outcome. Buying one share at 98¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 2% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Xavier Becerra, 2-4%
98.0% avg
