Live prediction market odds for Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Houston Cougars. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-18
This market resolved on 2026-01-18. Houston was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
HoustonWINNER | 99% | 99% |
Arizona State Sun Devils | 1% | 95% |
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Houston Cougars was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arizona State Sun Devils at 48%.
Houston held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston, Arizona State Sun Devils at 48% were the next closest contenders. The 94.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Houston: 99¢ on Kalshi, 99¢ on Polymarket. Arizona State Sun Devils: 1¢ on Kalshi, 95¢ on Polymarket. The 94.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Houston would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Houston
99.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Arizona St. wins the Arizona St. at Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Arizona St. at Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 18, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
