Live prediction market odds for Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-07
This market resolved on 2026-02-07. Iowa State Cyclones was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-bayl-iowast-2026-02-07 : Sports event: Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Iowa State CyclonesWINNER | 99% | 100% | 95% |
Baylor Bears | 1% | 0% | 6% |
Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Iowa State Cyclones led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Baylor Bears at 2%.
Iowa State Cyclones held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Iowa State Cyclones, Baylor Bears at 2% were the next closest contenders. The 6.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Iowa State Cyclones: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Baylor Bears: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 6.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 98¢ meant the market estimated a 98% chance that Iowa State Cyclones would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 98¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 2% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Iowa State Cyclones
97.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Iowa St. wins the Baylor at Iowa St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Baylor at Iowa St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
