Live prediction market odds for California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-11
This market resolved on 2026-03-11. Florida State Seminoles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.
cbb-cal-fsu-2026-03-11 : Sports event: California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Florida State SeminolesWINNER | 99% | 63% | 90% |
California Golden Bears | 1% | 38% | 12% |
California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Florida State Seminoles led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include California Golden Bears at 17%.
Florida State Seminoles held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Florida State Seminoles, California Golden Bears at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 36.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Florida State Seminoles: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket, 90¢ on ProphetX. California Golden Bears: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket, 12¢ on ProphetX. The 36.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Florida State Seminoles would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Florida State Seminoles
83.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Florida St. wins the California at Florida St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the California at Florida St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
