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This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

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Live prediction market odds for Dayton Flyers vs. UNC Wilmington Seahawks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

Dayton Flyers vs. UNC Wilmington Seahawks

2026-03-21

About This Market

cbb-day-uncw-2026-03-21 : Sports event: Dayton Flyers vs. UNC Wilmington Seahawks - cbb

Dayton leads the “Dayton Flyers vs. UNC Wilmington Seahawks” event at 58.0% implied probability, followed by UNC Wilmington at 42.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
D
Dayton
58% Avg
Kalshi58¢
Polymarket58¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
57.5%57¢58¢42¢43¢
PolymarketPolymarket
58.0%58¢58¢42¢42¢
UW
UNC Wilmington
42% Avg
Kalshi42¢
Polymarket42¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
41.5%41¢42¢58¢59¢
PolymarketPolymarket
42.0%42¢42¢58¢58¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Dayton Flyers vs. UNC Wilmington Seahawks" and why does it matter?

Dayton Flyers vs. UNC Wilmington Seahawks is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dayton leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include UNC Wilmington at 42%.

What is moving the odds on "Dayton Flyers vs. UNC Wilmington Seahawks"?

Dayton currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Dayton, UNC Wilmington at 42% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Dayton Flyers vs. UNC Wilmington Seahawks" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dayton: 58¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. UNC Wilmington: 42¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Dayton is at 58%?

A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Dayton will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Dayton

58.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Dayton Flyers vs. UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Dayton wins the UNC Wilmington at Dayton men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the team who wins the UNC Wilmington at Dayton men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 21 at 7:00 PM ET: If the Dayton Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Dayton Flyers". If the UNCW Seahawks win, the market will resolve to "UNCW Seahawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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