Live prediction market odds for Florida State Seminoles vs. SMU Mustangs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-24
This market resolved on 2026-01-24. SMU Mustangs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 93%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
SMU MustangsWINNER | 99% | 88% |
Florida State Seminoles | 1% | 12% |
Florida State Seminoles vs. SMU Mustangs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). SMU Mustangs led the market at 93% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Florida State Seminoles at 7%.
SMU Mustangs held the lead at 93% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind SMU Mustangs, Florida State Seminoles at 7% were the next closest contenders. The 11.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: SMU Mustangs: 99¢ on Kalshi, 88¢ on Polymarket. Florida State Seminoles: 1¢ on Kalshi, 12¢ on Polymarket. The 11.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 93¢ meant the market estimated a 93% chance that SMU Mustangs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 93¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 8% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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SMU Mustangs
93.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SMU wins the Florida St. at SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Florida St. at SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 24, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
