Question 1

What was "George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriots" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriots was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). George Mason led the market at 96% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include George Washington at 5%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriots"?

Accepted Answer

George Mason held the lead at 96% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind George Mason, George Washington at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 7.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriots" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: George Mason: 99¢ on Kalshi, 92¢ on Polymarket. George Washington: 1¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. The 7.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 96% odds for George Mason mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 96¢ meant the market estimated a 96% chance that George Mason would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 96¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 4% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
George MasonWINNER	99%	92%
George Washington	1%	8%

George Mason Wins: George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriots

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriots