Live prediction market odds for Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-22
cbb-iowa-fla-2026-03-22 : Sports event: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators - cbb
Florida leads the “Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators” event at 84.8% implied probability, followed by Iowa at 19.1%. A 5.4% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Florida leads at 85% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Iowa at 19%.
Florida currently leads at 85% implied probability. Behind Florida, Iowa at 19% are the next closest contenders. The 5.4% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Florida: 84¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket, 88¢ on ProphetX. Iowa: 18¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket, 22¢ on ProphetX. The 5.4% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ means the market estimates a 85% probability that Florida will be the outcome. Buying one share at 85¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 18% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Florida
84.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Iowa wins the Iowa at Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Iowa at Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 22 at 12:00 PM ET: If the Iowa Hawkeyes win, the market will resolve to "Iowa Hawkeyes". If the Florida Gators win, the market will resolve to "Florida Gators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetX{'note': 'Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules', 'rules_url': 'https://prophethelp.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/4675703326481-ProphetX-Prediction-Rules'}
