Question 1

What was "James Madison Dukes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

James Madison Dukes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Southern Miss Golden Eagles led the market at 68% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include James Madison Dukes at 34%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "James Madison Dukes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles"?

Accepted Answer

Southern Miss Golden Eagles held the lead at 68% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Southern Miss Golden Eagles, James Madison Dukes at 34% were the next closest contenders. The 45.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "James Madison Dukes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Southern Miss Golden Eagles: 50¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. James Madison Dukes: 49¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 45.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 68% odds for Southern Miss Golden Eagles mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 68¢ meant the market estimated a 68% chance that Southern Miss Golden Eagles would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 68¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 47% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Southern Miss Golden EaglesWINNER	50%	58%	96%
James Madison Dukes	49%	43%	10%

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Wins: James Madison Dukes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: James Madison Dukes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles