Question 1

What was "Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigers" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Kentucky led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Missouri at 2%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigers"?

Accepted Answer

Kentucky held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Kentucky, Missouri at 2% were the next closest contenders. The 3.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigers" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Kentucky: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Missouri: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 3.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 99% odds for Kentucky mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Kentucky would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
KentuckyWINNER	99%	100%	97%
Missouri	1%	0%	4%

Kentucky Wins: Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigers

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigers