Who is favored in Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels?

Louisville is currently favored with an average implied probability of 31.4% across 3 prediction markets.

What platforms have odds for Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels?

Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels odds are available on Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX. Prediction Hunt compares prices across all platforms in real time.

Is there an arbitrage opportunity on Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels?

Yes, the current spread is 62.5%, which may indicate a cross-platform arbitrage window. Check Prediction Hunt's arbitrage page for live opportunities.

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RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Resolved 2026-02-23

WINNER

Louisville

Final implied probability: 31% avg across 3 platforms

Final Summary

cbb-lou-ncar-2026-02-23 : Sports event: Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels - cbb

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Market Narrative // Why the odds are moving

KenPom analytics and efficiency metrics give Louisville a 50% chance to upset North Carolina with a narrow projected win, providing an analytical basis that informs market probability for the game outcome.. Meanwhile, Sports Illustrated reports: analysis highlights the critical importance of north carolina containing louisville's star guard mikel brown jr., whose scoring ability is a key matchup factor that could determine north carolina's chances, impacting the likelihood of the market resolving yes or no..

Additional coverage from ESPN suggests continued market attention. The 62.5% spread across platforms indicates divergent interpretations of these developments.

Sources: Sports Illustrated / Sports Illustrated / ESPN

Market Intel

LIVE

News Catalyst

6:00 PM

Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. North Carolina - Sports Illustrated

Sports Illustrated

News Catalyst

11:29 AM

3 Keys for UNC in Hosting No. 21 Louisville Monday - Sports Illustrated

Analysis highlights the critical importance of North Carolina containing Louisville's star guard Mikel Brown Jr., whose scoring ability is a key matchup factor that could determine North Carolina's chances, impacting the likelihood of the market resolving YES or NO.

Sports Illustrated

News Catalyst

8:50 PM

North Carolina 77-64 Syracuse (Feb 21, 2026) Game Recap - ESPN

North Carolina's key center Henri Veesaar returned from injury to lead the Tar Heels to a 77-64 win over Syracuse, but leading scorer Caleb Wilson remains out with a hand injury, missing his third straight game, which could affect UNC's performance against Louisville.

ESPN

Resolution

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats

Spread62.5%

Platforms3

Candidates2

Leader

Louisville

31.4% avg