Live prediction market odds for Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-22
This market resolved on 2026-01-22. Siena Saints was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Siena SaintsWINNER | 99% | 68% |
Marist Red Foxes | 1% | 32% |
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Siena Saints led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Marist Red Foxes at 17%.
Siena Saints held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Siena Saints, Marist Red Foxes at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 31.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Siena Saints: 99¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. Marist Red Foxes: 1¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. The 31.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Siena Saints would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Siena Saints
83.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Siena wins the Marist at Siena men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Marist at Siena men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 22, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
