Live prediction market odds for Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-01-31
This market resolved on 2026-01-31. Marshall Thundering Herd was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-marsh-arkst-2026-01-31 : Sports event: Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Marshall Thundering HerdWINNER | 99% | 100% | 42% |
Arkansas State Red Wolves | 1% | 10% | 62% |
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Marshall Thundering Herd led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arkansas State Red Wolves at 24%.
Marshall Thundering Herd held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Marshall Thundering Herd, Arkansas State Red Wolves at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 60.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Marshall Thundering Herd: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 42¢ on ProphetX. Arkansas State Red Wolves: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket, 62¢ on ProphetX. The 60.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Marshall Thundering Herd would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Marshall Thundering Herd
80.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Arkansas St. wins the Marshall at Arkansas St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Marshall at Arkansas St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 31, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
